cambsno
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nope - thats just ill thought out telegraph hyperbole , which assumes taxation would reduce if we weren't paying into europe - however they can't have it both ways , if the govt is going to use the 'billions saved' for other purposes , the level of taxation will have to remain unchanged (which is likely as why would the govt willingly give money back to the populace)
so what you actually wind up with is food costing more but the average family being no better off... but that won't inspire the average family to vote for the 'out' position the telegraph supports
also the real issue with the cost of food is the supermarkets - there is a huge difference between the price a farmer sells his goods for and what the consumer pays, so even in the unlikely event that withdrawing from the cap somehow magically reduces the cost of food production (which it doesnt) there is no guarantee of any savings being passed on to the consumer.
Also the cost per household of the CAP is about £200 per year , so I suspect that the rest of the 'cost saving' of withdrawing from the CAP is made up of the dubious idea that with a freer trade we'd be able to increase food imports and thus provide ultra cheap food thus saving each household an extra £1k per year.
this is cobblers because
a) per above there's no guarantee that supermarkets would pass the cost saving on anyway
b) ultra cheap food from abroad tends to come from deregulated markets with worse animal welfare, and dubious health side effects
c) apart from it being ethically indefensible to put british farmers out of business by buying ultra cheap goods from dubious markets (which is an odd position for a party which is allegedly all about putting our country first) it also comes with a big hidden cost in rural deprivation and unemployment
d)do we really want to be in a position where we are totally dependent on a foreign power for our food ?
But... that is just theory and no different to your view on the 'Torygraph' aside from the obvious views at the other end of the spectrum. Who knows what the actual figure would be, and what governments may do. Now, they may choose to reduce the deficit by that £15bn (to use that figure as an example) but that would mean we would not have to cut some services and would do a good thing in reducing the deficit, although I would rather see some tax cuts come in, for example.
Remember the saying about statistics... I am sure the pro EU lobby can make a case using the same figs as the anti EU lobby.
