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From the Daily Telegraph
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/tax/income/labour-retirement-tax-hit-state-pensioners-next-year/
Retirees will be dragged into paying income tax on their state pension as early as next year, fresh analysis suggests.
Forecasts by Deutsche Bank suggest the triple lock will rise by £600 – 5.5pc – next year to £12,631 – meaning it will breach the personal allowance which has been frozen by Rachel Reeves until 2029.
As a result, nine million pensioners will pay tax on their income from April 2026.
Experts have repeatedly warned the state pension is on track to collide with frozen income tax thresholds – a phenomenon that has been dubbed “Labour’s retirement tax”.
The triple lock is designed to ensure the state pension keeps up with living costs and rises each year by the highest of either inflation, average wage growth, or 2.5pc.
Deutsche Bank forecasts growth in average weekly earnings (AWE) will reach 5.5pc in July – higher than the projected inflation figure. They therefore predict the triple lock will rise by the same amount in April 2026.
Sanjay Raja, the bank’s chief UK economist, said the bank was confident in its forecasts, adding: “As of right now, our projection for AWE in the three months to July sits at 5.5pc year on year.
“Our September 2025 CPI projection sits just around 4.25pc. Therefore, based on our current projections we see state pensions rising by 5.5pc in April 2026.”
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/tax/income/labour-retirement-tax-hit-state-pensioners-next-year/
Retirees will be dragged into paying income tax on their state pension as early as next year, fresh analysis suggests.
Forecasts by Deutsche Bank suggest the triple lock will rise by £600 – 5.5pc – next year to £12,631 – meaning it will breach the personal allowance which has been frozen by Rachel Reeves until 2029.
As a result, nine million pensioners will pay tax on their income from April 2026.
Experts have repeatedly warned the state pension is on track to collide with frozen income tax thresholds – a phenomenon that has been dubbed “Labour’s retirement tax”.
The triple lock is designed to ensure the state pension keeps up with living costs and rises each year by the highest of either inflation, average wage growth, or 2.5pc.
Deutsche Bank forecasts growth in average weekly earnings (AWE) will reach 5.5pc in July – higher than the projected inflation figure. They therefore predict the triple lock will rise by the same amount in April 2026.
Sanjay Raja, the bank’s chief UK economist, said the bank was confident in its forecasts, adding: “As of right now, our projection for AWE in the three months to July sits at 5.5pc year on year.
“Our September 2025 CPI projection sits just around 4.25pc. Therefore, based on our current projections we see state pensions rising by 5.5pc in April 2026.”
