Slightly unfair really, his attitude hasn't been great from the start
No, my attitude has been fine, I just don't agree with your shrill hysteria, based on rumor and no evidence. We don't all get our information from the Daily Mail, some of us prefer evidence.
Moving on, BSM is correct, I do know where the report button is, and frankly your ramblings are no where near hitting anything soft.
Neil. Thanks. I fully accept I am blunt, comes of years of giving evidence, ie fact based and not including emotion or feelings in it. But I make no appology for that, I'd prefer things blunt than shrill rhetoric with no substance.
So moving on,
Brash. No of course we don't know how many reoffend and are never caught. Just as we don't know how many are re-convicted wrongly on the basis of assumption and memory of previous cases. As we are talking here about evidence based conclusions, not the sort fueled by the press and assumptions, we can only work with whats known. The facts are thats the numbers in the UK.
Equally, we have seen people quote 'majority' and 'large number'. But no facts propping those comments up.
dunno for sure either - it was Bernie who originally said in reply to traci that he could be out in as little as 8 years if his rehabilitation worked...
You can get a third off most sentences, but in his case I doubt he will. Although he would have already served a portion of his sentence while on remand, so 8 is a rough experience based guess. In theory it could be down to about 4.5/5 years from conviction taking into account his time on remand. But he has to convince a parole board and Social Services. Thats not something I'd expect him to be able to do first, or second time. Of course if he shows no remorse, doesn't respond to treatment, he'll do the full 14.
And no, to remove the idea from the heads of some, he probably wont find himself impaled on something in the showers. He'll be on rule 43, segregation. In the past that might not have been an obstacle, but these days, is it worth the prison officer loosing his job over?
Simon
The topic of sentencing in general is another subject. What it should be and what it is are 2 different things., Sentencing is far less harsh than it used to be. Blame the Government, it saves them money on prison places. Blame the EU as well, while we are part of that we cannot have a death penalty. If we ever did have one again, it would actually be to our detriment. Europe would not extradite anyone who may be executed to us, so all Mr Murderer needs to do is leg it to France, and he's scot free.
Viv
So you can make valid points?
Genuine questions: Does that mean that of the 29,837 peadophiles registered in 2012, 941 of them re-offendid IN 2012??
Are there any numbers for how many of them ever re-offended before their deaths?
All I can do is say what it says, that there were 941 re convictions, make of that what you will.
Of course, you can't have what you asked for in your last point. The Sex Offender register hasn't been going for long enough. You'd need it to run for around 90 years for that I'm afraid.
The raw data probably is there, buried in the vaults of the Home Office, but based simply on convictions. Getting it might be a major event and take years though.