Thunderstorm Warning

Ian D J

Ian D J

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Ian D J
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Yep, I'm back again with my weather warnings. Now, I only do these if something of real significance is expected to crop up, and I believe what will occur over the next 36 hours does justify this thread.

During the course of tomorrow (Bank Holiday Monday) It looks like the air will become very unstable over other side of the English Channel and enable large multi-celled storms to form over France. Once that takes place, they will trundle northwards towards the UK.
If these computer models do ring true along with my own high confidence, tomorrow morning and the first half of the afternoon should start bright and dry, then I shall expect some "severe" thunderstorms to develop over the south east of the UK at 6 pm tomorrow (Monday). Then they will move northwestwards to affect the rest of England and perhaps Wales over the course of the night. Storms are expected to pop up over the Midlands and perhaps the south west of England. Also expect localised torrential rain and a small risk of flooding in places, as well as local hail.

Here's a map to outline the storm risk:

Stormwarning25thMay.jpg
 
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:woot:

He's back!

:woot:

Hope we get some :D

Thanks for the warnings, keep us updated mate.....
 
andy_fozzy said:
:woot:

He's back!

:woot:

Hope we get some :D

Thanks for the warnings, keep us updated mate.....
Click to expand...

:D Unfortunately I'll be at work all day tomorrow so the last update should take place at 4 am tomorrow morning. Thereafter I'll be running blind (no internet access at my greenhouse workplace out in the middle of the Kent countryside).

Of course, all the usual safety thing applies if you get caught out in it while in the middle of a photography session. :rules:

However, if you fancy a go at tracking thunderstorms, here's the best place to do it (the red dots are lightning strikes): http://www.meteox.com/h.aspx?r=&jaar=-3&soort=satradar It updates itself every half hour so don't forget to give it a refresh every now and then. :)
 
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I'll be at work tomorrow evening, so no photo ops for me :razz:

(Double bubble on BH though :woot: )

:D
 
THANKS FOR THE WARNING

WHAT ABOUT THE REST OF THE WEEK

SOUTH WEST AREA
 
THANKS FOR THE HEADS UP
 
jolsterj said:
THANKS FOR THE WARNING

WHAT ABOUT THE REST OF THE WEEK

SOUTH WEST AREA
Click to expand...

It'll turn fresher during the course of Tuesday with sunshine forming but with scattered showers. Much the same thing on Wednesday (mixed with sunny spells and scattered showers and quite windy) then settling down as we head towards the end of the week with more in the way of sunshine and gradually becoming warmer (possibly up to 25 C in places by Friday).
 
Whayeee at least its after 6pm we going to a veteran an vintage day at sherburn tomorrow
Great to see your back Ian :thumbs:
 
So no storms for us then ...... means I still have to go outside and do some work next week *sigh*

;)
 
babytiger said:
Whayeee at least its after 6pm we going to a veteran an vintage day at sherburn tomorrow
Great to see your back Ian :thumbs:
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:thumbs: 'Tis been a while, hasn't it? It does look like Lincs is in one of the prime spot for it come the evening. I think the day should be okay.

SpidersEye said:
So no storms for us then ...... means I still have to go outside and do some work next week *sigh*

;)
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Sounds like you're a field worker, or a gardener? But this is it, the further north you go, the risk diminishes as the humid unstable air gets killed off by the cooler air over Scotland.
 
Holy crap I will have a thick red line running through me :eek::D
Thanks for the heads up Ian :thumbs: looks as though I am border-line
( on the western fringe)
 
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Hi and good mornin'.
Well, I've just had a look at them forecast models and is suggesting that this thunderstorm event is still well and truly nailed on.
There is a cluster of storms already over the Bay of Biscay and should give those living in the South West of the UK a bit of excitement later on today.
But the real feature are some multicell-type storms (those are the real bad boys) expected to develop over the North West of France during the course of this afternoon and march towards the South East as we head towards the evening. At the moment there is nothing there, that's because it's waiting for the daytime heat to get to work, all it'll need is a tiny bit of trigger and that lone cumulus could grow to large cumlonimubus (the large thunderstorm clouds) in an hour, it'll be a very rapidly developing thing.
Then the whole set up will continue to march north west wards to affect the rest of England and Wales as we head into the night before finally engaging the cooler air over Scotland thus killing things off.
Tuesday is expected to be feeling fresher and brighter wiith scattered showers in most places. One or two of those showers may still pack a punch, though.
 
Wow - Monday will be a proper Bank Holiday then :) :D

Glad we got our BBQ in yesterday :D

Thanks for the heads up Ian! :thumbs:
 
Dark Star said:
Wow - Monday will be a proper Bank Holiday then :) :D

Glad we got our BBQ in yesterday :D

Thanks for the heads up Ian! :thumbs:
Click to expand...

Same here !!!

Will be checking up in here later on :thumbs:
 
Ian D J said:
Yep, I'm back again with my weather warnings. Now, I only do these if something of real significance is expected to crop up, and I believe what will occur over the next 36 hours does justify this thread.

During the course of tomorrow (Bank Holiday Monday) It looks like the air will become very unstable over other side of the English Channel and enable large multi-celled storms to form over France. Once that takes place, they will trundle northwards towards the UK.
If these computer models do ring true along with my own high confidence, tomorrow morning and the first half of the afternoon should start bright and dry, then I shall expect some "severe" thunderstorms to develop over the south east of the UK at 6 pm tomorrow (Monday). Then they will move northwestwards to affect the rest of England and perhaps Wales over the course of the night. Storms are expected to pop up over the Midlands and perhaps the south west of England. Also expect localised torrential rain and a small risk of flooding in places, as well as local hail.

Here's a map to outline the storm risk:

Stormwarning25thMay.jpg
Click to expand...
Thanks for that Nostradamus something to cheer us up LoL
 
It just wouldn't be a Bank Holiday without British Bank Holiday weather now would it ;)
 
Any advice on capturing lightning without getting fried would be much appreciated. According to AccuWeather the storms will be hitting around about where I live at 8pm today :D.
 
According to this thread
It all seems to be SE of me at the moment but the skies are
darkening and the humidity is on the up
 
And surprise, surprise, had a bit of lightning earlier on this afternoon. Granted, though, it wasn't the most severe storm but here's a capture of a lightning strike (picture taken by my sister who lives 100 yards up the road from my house).

4499_86232918357_551573357_1920962_3687613_n.jpg


I have to be honest and admit that it isn't going to be as severe and widespread than I thought, but nonetheless I won't rule out the odd flash and rumble of thunder anywhere over England and Wales as we go into the night, along with some much needed rainfall (well, it HAS been dry lately).
 
Lovely morning, nice afternoon leading into an overcast evening.

No thunderstorm here in the NW yet.
 
:( Where's my thunderstorm......nothing in Mid/North Kent apart from some rain
 
While we didn't quite get the storms, these hailstones came out of a supercell (a meteorological term for a thundercloud) that developed over northern France on Monday evening (2 days ago at time of typing this post).

hail.jpg


Had this storm formed 200 miles further north, that hail would've fallen over southern England. :eek:
 
Ian D J said:
.....Had this storm formed 200 miles further north, that hail would've fallen over southern England. :eek:
Click to expand...
That is some ice balls!

The storm never made it this far just a hell of a lot of rain overnight ,eventually
 
Cobra said:
That is some ice balls!

The storm never made it this far just a hell of a lot of rain overnight ,eventually
Click to expand...

This is it, it was looking soooo good for intense storms over the UK for that Monday evening, but then right at the last hour we lost the instability needed for those storms to pep up. Instead they kept well over to the other side of the Channel where the "atmospheric lift" was more vigorous. Perhaps it's just as well for brontophobics living in the UK. :D
 
Ian D J said:
This is it, it was looking soooo good for intense storms over the UK for that Monday evening, but then right at the last hour we lost the instability needed for those storms to pep up. Instead they kept well over to the other side of the Channel where the "atmospheric lift" was more vigorous. Perhaps it's just as well for brontophobics living in the UK. :D
Click to expand...

Ah well maybe next time
BTW I had to Goooooogle brontophobics
I thought it was a fear of vegetarian dinosaurs :D

As an aside,
I spent a few months with a friend in NE south Dakota a few years ago
pretty much in the middle of nowhere and it was interesting watching the
"tits" form from the pea green clouds clouds and then watching them slowly start to rotate :D
I "inspected" the inside of his cellar more than once :thumbs: it was quite cosy :D

 
Heh, you'll be glad to know we got several thunder storms over in NI around the time you predicted. (only just saw this thread now)
 
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