I recently bought a Mac and have the same dilemma, but before I purchase, I have decided to wait a bit longer and see if Apple announce a new version of Aperture. There is an announcement tomorrow (22nd) of some new releases, so ever hopeful that Aperture might be there.
Don't hold your breath on a new Aperture. Too long between versions. I loved it, but just got outdated so made the move. I ended up with Capture One Pro. I tried LR 4 but too slow to render images and couldn't compare to Capture One for quality. Capture one is pricier though.
I was quite surprised at iphoto's editing abilities. For basic changes it is pretty good. The healing tool works well too.
You can set up iphoto to use an external editor like Gimp too. That's worth investigating as an alternative if iphoto's organisation ability is acceptable. It also deals with RAWs a lot better than it used to.
If you use photostream then aperture is your only choice from the two as lightroom can't upload or download from photostream easily. You can only download with a load of faff.
I started using Aperture but then bought Lightroom as it has more features that I actually use (like the lens correction).
I have a suspicion that Apple might update Aperture fairly soon as they'll be announcing release details of the new Mac Pro shortly, possibly tomorrow. If they're going to update Aperture it would make sense to tie it in with that imo.
Would be nice if they did update the software line, a new iWork, iLife, Aperture etc, Aperture can be handy as most LR plugins work with it but I still switch between LR and Capture One (certain perks but prefer Capture One as LR just seems too annoying to just edit a simple photo)
I really enjoy using both. Lightroom 5 has better camera calibration features and a perspective control function that is great for straightening images with ease. Aperture is far easier to get to grips with though and integrates better with the mac OS
In short, It is all pretty much lightroom. I would say Aperture is stuck well in the past and I am not holding my breath until the next release. The best they could do is to make it free and open source (which won't happen)
Currently an Aperture user, but will be moving to Lightroom & Elements in a month or so. Aperture has been great to learn with but the Adobe products have committed roadmap and bigger user community so it's easier to learn and develop your PP skills.
Maybe, maybe not, a new version was mentioned at the apple keynote today, but after more research most people think it's really just an update to version 3.5.
Personally I hate the work flow of LR and am a aperture user, yes adode do have a committed roadmap, it's the cloud and subscription for everything
What will be very interesting is if Apples upgrades all follow today's announcements of the new version of the OS being free, and I think the same for iLife and iWork's too, so free new version of aperture could be on the way.
I started off with Aperture which is a very good programme. It's RAW handling facility is excellent. Like you, I thought i would upgrade to Elements and Lightroom. That said, I was so impressed with Elements that I decided to upgrade to Photoshpo CS6 (whilst you can still purchase a copy as opposed to the cloud version) I guess its all down to personal taste and what works.
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